she won

I gave her the imperial fleet and the wind, she charged very quickly against me. I used the islands to break her line up but my blood ship didn't get through like I hoped in the center to come back around at the greatship to help the iron sharks tear it apart.
in the end I sunk 1 wolfship and completely destroyed (but didn't sink) another. captured a war galley in the center and all but 1 iron shark was captured by the massive crew of the greatship as they waited desperately for the blood ship to tear through a squadron, which takes a few turns.
I gave the game 7 turns and of course gave her every bit of help as possible. Allowed for 2 times the battle honors for captured ships and regular battle honors for a sunken ship, she won because my warriors on the bloodship rolled a 1 and failed to capture the second war galley it was entangled with in the center.
overall it was a lot of fun, she is a bit of an artistic girl so she was curious for the painted models and was deeply impressed with all of the ships laid out on the table top. I told her it would be fun and she hated me for making her play but in the end she had a lot of fun as I knew she would and she agreed that it is a fairly simple game to play.